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The State of Global Jihad Online

A Qualitative, Quantitative, and Cross-Lingual Analysis
  • By Aaron Y. Zelin, Richard Borow Fellow, Washington Institute for Near East Policy
February 4, 2013 |
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To read the full report, click here.

More than 11 years after the attacks of 9/11 and nearly a decade since the rise of popular online jihadi Internet forums, there is strikingly little empirical research on the manner in which jihadi activists use the Web to propagate their cause. Whereas researchers and policy analysts have systematically collected and analyzed the primary source material produced by al-Qaeda and its allies, very little work has been done on the conduits through which that information is distributed—and even to what extent anyone is accessing that propaganda other than counterterrorism analysts. As William McCants asserted during testimony in December 2011 before the House Homeland Security Subcommittee on Counterterrorism and Intelligence, “There is little research to go on, which is striking given how data-rich the Internet is. In hard numbers, how widely distributed was Zawahiri’s last message? Did it resonate more in one U.S. city than another? Who were its main distributors on Facebook and YouTube? How are they connected with one another? This sort of baseline quantitative research barely exists at the moment.”[i]

This paper begins to fill that gap. First, it quantifies the use of English-language jihadi forums, which rose in prominence with the emergence of American-born Sheikh Anwar al-Awlaki within the jihadi propaganda enterprise. Second, it measures the use of Twitter by online jihadis. This baseline is limited; it would also have been fruitful to systematically assess the activity in other virtual spaces used by jihadis, such as YouTube, Facebook, and Archive.org, and to do so over a longer period. Nonetheless, this paper assesses:

(1) the most prominent English-language forums;

(2) the English-language sections within prominent Arabic-language jihadi forums;

(3) how the English-language forums compare to the Arabic-language forums; and

(4) the current status of the nascent rise in Twitter activism.[ii]

 

To read the full report, click here.


[i]William McCants, “Testimony,” U.S. House of Representatives: Subcommittee on Counterterrorism and Intelligence, “Jihadist Use of Social Media - How to Prevent Terrorism and Preserve Innovation,” December 6, 2011, http://homeland.house.gov/sites/homeland.house.gov/files/Testimony%20McC...

[ii] More specifically it focuses on the Ansar al-Mujahidin English Forum (AMEF), the largest English language jihadi forum, the English sections in the Shamukh al-Islam Arabic Forum, the al-Qimmah Islamic Network (which focuses almost exclusively on Somalia), the al-Jihad al-Alami Arabic Forum, the al-Fida al-Islam Arabic Forum, and the “Politics, Jihad and Current Affairs” section in the Islamic Awakening English Forum, which seems to serve as crossing point between mainstream online discourse and the jihadi facilitation media networks mentioned above.

It is only a matter of time before terrorists begin routinely using Twitter, Instagram, and other services in ongoing operations.