Washington D.C.—Today, the Congressional Budget
Office released its Long-Term Budget Outlook, with tax and spending
projections over a 75-year window that are considerably worse than previous
projections. As with previous reports, CBO concludes the federal budget is on
an unsustainable path, with ever-rising debt reaching untenable
levels.
"For years, we've been warning that the budget was out
of balance over the long-term and we should act while there was still time,"
said Maya MacGuineas, President of the Committee for a Responsible Federal
Budget. "Well guess what? Time is quickly running out. We're drowning in
unprecedented levels of red ink and there is no plan to fix the
situation."
Under its
baseline scenario, CBO projects deficits will briefly drop below 2 percent of
GDP next decade before rising to above 5.5 percent in 2035, 8 percent in 2050,
and over 19 percent by the end of the 75-year window. Under their "Alternative
Fiscal Scenario," which makes policy assumptions consistent with current
practices, deficits would never drop below 4 percent of GDP, would hit 15
percent by 2035, and would surpass 45 percent of GDP by the end of the 75-year
period. Unfortunately, given current political sentiment, the second scenario
appears far more likely.
This
outlook is considerably worse than previous projections, with the 75-year fiscal
gap increasing from 6.9 percent of GDP to 8.1 percent of GDP since the December
2007 Long-Term Outlook.
"Having spent over a decade worrying about budget deficits, I can quite honestly say that things have
never looked as bad as they do now. We need to be focused on slowing
spending and finding better ways to raise revenue, not on cutting taxes and
introducing new entitlement programs," said MacGuineas. "We can either make
these hard choices now, on our own terms, or we can make them in a panic on the
heels of a full-blown fiscal crisis."